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Global Economic Challenges Reawaken Market Volatility

In the two weeks since China devalued its currency, asset prices globally have undergone sharp declines—in stocks, bonds, commodities and many currencies, especially among emerging markets. The sell-off in global markets accelerated last Friday and continued Monday, with global and regional indexes nearing or entering their first correction (a drop of 10% from the most recent peak) in several years.

August 25, 2015

US Economy: “Are We There Yet?”

Joseph G. Carson
Senior Vice President and Director—Global Economic Research

June 2016 marks the seventh anniversary of the current economic growth cycle. Its durability to date makes it the fourth-longest expansion in the postwar period—and two years longer than the average. Yet questions of sustainability have plagued this cycle almost every quarter. Nonetheless, one of the most important features of the current cycle is its youthful image, which we think bodes well for its lifespan. In the end, we would not be surprised if the current cycle rivals the longest expansions on record and runs for another three years or more.

May 27, 2016